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Impact of Increased Savings on Disposable Spending:

Created by Piyush Patel_ in Economic Update Visit: 282 2 Feb 2025
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Impact of Increased Savings on Disposable Spending:Β 


The increase in disposable income due to higher tax exemptions will significantly boost consumer spending across multiple sectors. Here's how it will affect different industries:


1. Increased Disposable Income and Expected Spending Patterns

Income Group

Expected Additional Savings

Likely Spending Areas

Middle Class (β‚Ή6-12 Lakh annual income)

β‚Ή50,000 - β‚Ή1,00,000 per year

Consumer electronics, automobiles, travel, retail shopping, housing.

Upper-Middle Class (β‚Ή12-24 Lakh annual income)

β‚Ή1,00,000 - β‚Ή2,50,000 per year

Premium vehicles, luxury housing, financial investments, high-end retail.


2. Sector-Wise Impact of Higher Disposable Income

Sector

Companies Likely to Benefit

Reason

Retail & E-commerce

Reliance Retail, Avenue Supermarts (D-Mart), Titan, Nykaa

Increased consumer spending on shopping and lifestyle products.

Automobile & EVs

Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra, Bajaj Auto

More affordability for car buyers due to tax savings.

Real Estate & Housing

DLF, Godrej Properties, Oberoi Realty

Higher disposable income allows more people to buy homes.

Financial Services & Banks

HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI, Bajaj Finance

Higher savings could lead to increased investments in mutual funds, FDs, and stock markets.

Insurance

HDFC Life, ICICI Lombard, SBI Life

Increased savings can result in more life and health insurance purchases.

Travel & Hospitality

Indian Hotels (Taj), IRCTC, MakeMyTrip

Higher disposable income will encourage domestic and international travel.

Consumer Electronics & Appliances

Dixon Technologies, Voltas, Havells, Samsung, Apple

More spending on smartphones, TVs, refrigerators, and home appliances.

Luxury & Fashion

Titan, Raymond, Trent (Westside)

More spending on branded and luxury goods.

Entertainment & OTT

PVR-INOX, Zee Entertainment, Netflix India

More subscriptions to OTT platforms, increased movie outings.

Healthcare & Wellness

Apollo Hospitals, Dr. Lal Pathlabs, Max Healthcare

Higher spending on health check-ups, gym memberships, and insurance.



Detailed Sector-Specific Breakdown of Disposable Income Impact

With higher disposable income due to tax exemptions, consumer behavior will shift towards increased spending and investment. Below is a detailed sector-specific analysis on how different industries will benefit and which companies are positioned to gain.


1. Retail & E-commerce

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Highly Positive

  • Why? Higher disposable income will boost retail consumption, benefiting both brick-and-mortar stores and e-commerce platforms.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • Reliance Retail (Reliance Industries)

    • Avenue Supermarts (D-Mart)

    • Titan (Jewelry, Watches, Fashion)

    • Nykaa (Cosmetics & Online Retail)

    • Trent (Westside, Zudio)


2. Automobile & Electric Vehicles (EVs)

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Highly Positive

  • Why? Consumers with more savings are likely to upgrade their cars, buy two-wheelers, or invest in electric vehicles (EVs) due to rising environmental awareness.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra (Passenger Vehicles)

    • Bajaj Auto, Hero MotoCorp, TVS Motors (Two-wheelers)

    • Ola Electric, Ather Energy (EV startups)

    • Exide Industries, Amara Raja Batteries (Battery Manufacturers)


3. Real Estate & Housing

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Positive

  • Why? Higher disposable income will encourage home purchases and investments in real estate, particularly in urban areas.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • DLF, Godrej Properties, Oberoi Realty (Luxury & Mid-Income Housing)

    • Phoenix Mills (Commercial real estate)

    • HDFC (Housing Finance), Bajaj Housing Finance, SBI Home Loans (Housing Finance)


4. Banking & Financial Services

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Very Positive

  • Why? Increased savings will drive higher bank deposits, insurance investments, and stock market participation.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI (Deposits & Loans)

    • Bajaj Finance, Muthoot Finance (Retail Loans & Gold Loans)

    • HDFC Life, ICICI Lombard, SBI Life (Insurance Sector Gains)

    • HDFC AMC, SBI AMC (Asset management Sector Gains)


5. Travel & Hospitality

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Moderately Positive

  • Why? More disposable income means higher travel spending, boosting hotels, airlines, and tourism services.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • Indian Hotels (Taj), ITC Hotels (Hospitality & Luxury Hotels)

    • IRCTC, MakeMyTrip (Travel & Online Booking)

    • InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo), SpiceJet (Airline Sector)


6. Consumer Electronics & Appliances

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Highly Positive

  • Why? Increased savings allow consumers to upgrade their gadgets and home appliances.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • Dixon Technologies (Consumer Electronics Manufacturing)

    • Samsung, Apple, Xiaomi (Smartphones & Laptops)

    • Voltas, Havells, Whirlpool (Home Appliances)


7. Luxury & Fashion

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Positive

  • Why? Consumers will spend more on premium brands and fashion accessories.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • Titan (Tanishq, Fastrack, Zoya)

    • Raymond (Luxury Apparel)

    • Trent (Westside, Zudio)


8. Entertainment & OTT Platforms

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Moderate Positive

  • Why? Consumers will spend more on movies, streaming platforms, and gaming.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • PVR-INOX (Multiplex Business)

    • Zee Entertainment, Netflix India, Disney+ Hotstar (OTT Streaming Platforms)

    • Nazara Technologies (Gaming & Esports)


9. Healthcare & Wellness

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Positive

  • Why? More disposable income will lead to higher healthcare spending, wellness programs, and gym memberships.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • Apollo Hospitals (Hospitals)

    • Dr. Lal PathLabs, Metropolis Healthcare (Diagnostics & Pathology)

    • CureFit, Gold’s Gym (Fitness & Wellness)


10. Shipbuilding & Maritime Industry

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Highly Positive

  • Why? 10-year BCD exemption on raw materials used for shipbuilding will reduce production costs and boost domestic manufacturing.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • Cochin Shipyard, Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders (Government & Defense Shipbuilding)

    • Garden Reach Shipbuilders (Commercial Shipbuilding)


11. Fisheries & Seafood Industry

  • Impact: πŸ“ˆ Positive

  • Why? Reduction in Basic Customs Duty (BCD) on frozen fish paste (from 30% to 5%) and fish hydrolysate (from 15% to 5%) will lower production costs and boost exports.

  • Key Beneficiary Companies:

    • Avanti Feeds, Waterbase Ltd (Aquaculture & Shrimp Exports)

    • Coastal Corporation Ltd (Frozen Seafood Processing)


Final Takeaways:

βœ… Top Benefiting Sectors: Retail, Automobiles, Banking, Real Estate, Consumer Electronics, Healthcare, Travel
βœ… Key Growth Driver: Higher disposable income from tax savings will fuel spending across industries
βœ… FDI Boost in Insurance (74% β†’ 100%) will attract foreign capital into the financial sector
βœ… Customs Duty Reductions & Exemptions will support domestic production in shipbuilding, fisheries, and EV batteries


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